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The countercyclical use of public works projects, like this one from the early New Deal, enjoyed bipartisan support in the years leading up to the Great Depression.

President Obama’s plan for $50 billion in new public works spending has brought Coolidge into current political debate. As econ blogger Mark Thoma has pointed out, not-so-silent Cal endorsed the use of public works to help smooth the business cycle.  Here’s a selection from a 1925 Coolidge speech to the Associated General Contractors of America:

The idea of utilizing construction, particularly of public works, as a stabilizing factor in the business and employment situation has long been a plan of perfection among students of these problems. If in periods of great business activity the work of construction might be somewhat relaxed; and if in periods of business depression and slack employment those works might be expanded to provide occupation for workers otherwise idle, the result would be a stabilization and equalization which would moderate the alternations of employment and unemployment. This in turn would tend to favorable modification of the economic cycle. . . The first and easiest application of such a regulation is in connection with public works; the construction program which involves public buildings, highways, public utilities, and the like. Most forms of Government construction could be handled in conformity to such a policy, once it was definitely established. . . This applies not only to the construction activities of the Federal Government, but to those of states, counties and cities.

More than this, the economies possible under such a plan are apparent. When everybody wants to do the same thing at the same time, it becomes unduly expensive. Every element of costs, in every direction, tends to expand. These conditions reverse themselves in times of slack employment and subnormal activity, with the result that important economies are possible.

I am convinced that if the Government units would generally adopt such a policy, and if, having adopted it, they would give the fullest publicity to the resultant savings, the showing would have a compelling influence upon business generally. Quasi-public concerns, such as railroads and other public utilities, and the great corporations whose requirements can be quite accurately anticipated and charted, would be impressed that their interest could be served by a like procedure.

[Quoted in L. W. Wallace, "A Federal Department of Public Works and Domain: Its Planning, Activities, and Influence in Leveling the Business Cycle," Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science 12 (July 1927): 108-9.]

Such opinions can seem surprising, at least on the lips of a stalwart defender of the free market like Coolidge. But in fact, the countercyclical use of public spending was broadly popular in the 1920s. As I argue in a forthcoming article for Law and Contemporary Problems:

Many political and business leaders of the 1920s—Republicans, as well as Democrats—believed that government had a useful role to play in fighting recessions and curbing unemployment.  They placed particular faith in the efficacy of increased spending on public works.  New dams, roads, and tunnels might prove to be long-term public assets, but in the short run, they also promoted recovery by supporting wage levels, which in turned increased consumption and encouraged growth.

In particular, President Harding’s blue-ribbon commission on unemployment suggested that public works might be used to ameliorate unemployment and encourage recovery during economic contractions.

Holding back public works and private construction for periods of depression not only gives employment to large numbers of workers when it is most needed but creates a demand for raw materials for construction which in turn stimulates other industries to offer employment. It maintains the buying power of those directly or indirectly employed, it creates a market for goods, and it enables the workers directly or indirectly employed to buy the products of other industries. Finally, construction work in a period of industrial depression, when costs are lower, is economical.

When the world plunged into the abyss of the Great Depression, politicians of both parties called for increased public works spending to help slow the fall. President Hoover and Congress soon obliged. Then, as now, there was plenty of argument about how much to spend, with some arguing for more and others for less. But a remarkably broad consensus supported the notion that some amount of new spending on public construction was was both prudent and desirable.

Just a heads up for the Voice of America’s short item on Coolidge. Prompted by the new essay collection, Why Coolidge Matters, it offers  quick glimpse of Silent Cal and his times. Worth a look.

Amity has a column in today’s Wall Street Journal evaluating the role of public unions in American society. Along the way, she offers a nice summary of the Boston police strike:

Many people assumed that public unionism was emasculated for good by the city of Boston’s refusal to rehire striking police officers after the Boston Police Strike of 1919. The circumstances of the strike were such that it was nearly impossible not to side with the patrolmen. Police wages were not keeping up with inflation. Their working conditions were appalling. When the police went on strike, the city and state delayed before calling in outside help and the city descended into riots and chaos.

Calvin Coolidge, then Massachusetts governor, saw the strike as inexcusable and rejected the idea that any blame be assigned to authorities. Any failure to adequately respond, he said, “cannot justify the wrong of leaving the city unguarded,” which furnished the opportunity for riots. He then made it clear the policemen would not get their jobs back. “There is no right to strike against the public safety by anybody, anywhere, any time,” he said.

Amity strikes the right balance here, I think. As she says, it’s hard not to sympathize with the patrolmen — before the strike. But it’s even harder to disagree with Coolidge about the importance of law and order. Some things are non-negotiable, and public safety is one of them.

For my money, though, the real villain of the police strike wasn’t the union and its leadership (who were left with few alternatives to a walkout). And it certainly wasn’t Coolidge. Rather, the culprits were Boston city officials, who broke one promise after another and left many patrolman in near poverty. Their dishonesty and ineptitude was the real crime, provoking a civil disaster that was wholly and completely avoidable.

This image was found by Paul Rivoche.

Taxation and New England

Taxation and New England, two subjects dear to Silent Cal’s heart, have been in the news lately. Actually, they’ve been in the news together. Gov. Lynch of NH and Gov. Patrick of Massachusetts have been battling over tax revenues. It seems New Hampshire draws money away from Massachsuetts because it has no sales tax or income tax. My Bloomberg columns on taxes are here.

The issue is whether tax rates in these states really do affect economies as much as the tax-focused imagine. (The others find us tax people offputtingly monocausal). My sense is, taxes do matter. In this discussion, it is worth considering an old important paper by Art Woolf on high-tax Vermont and NH. Woolf was rebutting those who said other factors besides taxes might account for NH’s relative prosperity. Art therefore narrowed the comparison down to the two sides of the Connecticut River Valley.

Wrote Art: “The counties on both sides of the river are similar in population size and density, and big cities are absent. One might, in fact, expect the Vermont counties to perform better from an economic standpoint than those on the New Hampshire side due to the presence on the Vermont side of Interstate 91, a major north-south highway along which firms, and economic activity, would be expected to cluster. Instead, what do we find? In 1999, median household income in the Vermont border counties was $38,439, but $40,718 on the New Hampshire side. Poverty rates, too, were higher on the Vermont side in 2000 (9.4 percent) than on the New Hampshire side (8.6 percent) (see web site: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd). The story is the same for child poverty, where the rate was 12.8 percent on the Vermont side and 9.3 percent on the New Hampshire side (see web site: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/saipe/stcty/estimate.html). The lesson from these data is that economic growth and a healthy economy do not benefit just the rich, as progressives claim. Rather, economic growth benefits everyone. Growth leads to higher incomes for the middle class, lower poverty rates, an increased ability to afford health insurance, and firms that are better able to afford to pay higher wages and better benefits for their employees.”

You have to wonder how Silent Cal would feel to discover his two states,  Vermont and Massachusetts,  shouldering the heavy tax burdens they do now.

P.S. A Hoover note:  Recently some critics have slashed Coolidge’s successor, Herbert Hoover, for raising taxes. Perhaps they are forgetting that Hoover led the country—there is no other word—in bringing the top marginal rate in the income tax down lower than it has been since, to 24%, from 25%.  Joe Thorndike first pointed this out. Hoover achieved this, as Gene Smiley has also noted, by joining the Treasury in leading Congress in reducing the based tax rate from 1.5% to 0.5%. Andrew Mellon, Treasury Secretary in 1929, announced in November, after the Crash, that the country had “reached the point where tax reduction should be recommended.” (New York Times, Nov. 14, 1929, “Mellon Outlines Plan.”)

Hoover scholar George Nash will, we hope, be able to give us some insight as to Hoover’s thinking. The 1929 cut was short-lived, and Hoover also presided over an enormous rate increase towards the end of his presidency. Nonetheless, this act of Hoover is worth noting.

This weekend, the Glenn Beck Show featured Coolidge.
The show was triggered by our own Calvin Coolidge Memorial Foundation’s book, co produced with the National Notary Association, Why Coolidge Matters. Below are some boots at the Calvin Coolidge Memorial Foundation. Thanks to the Forbes Library of Northampton, Silent Cal’s cowboy boots, shown on the right, were also displayed on the show.

Dear Ms. Shlaes,

My family came from Brattleboro, VT. I was raised with the knowledge that I was a descendent of Calvin Coolidge on my maternal side. I have always been hesitant to tell people this as I was educated in the public school system. I was taught that “Silent Cal” was a do nothing, not very bright man. I would like to thank you for giving me the facts about the man and the President that he was. I am proud to tell people now that I am related to him!

Thank you for telling the truth about history. If we are able to educate our children about our past, maybe we can back on track with our country. We need a Calvin Coolidge today to rein in spending and corruption.

I am grateful to you for your dedication and hard work.

Terry J. Nelson

Clermont, FL

We have just posted a comprehensive bibliography of works about Calvin Coolidge and the 1920s. Students, educators, researchers, and people interested in Calvin Coolidge and the 1920s more broadly will find it immensely useful. To see it, simply click on the “Coolidge Bibliography” tab at the very top of this website.

The bibliography consists of the following six sections: Online Resources, Works by Calvin Coolidge, Biographical Works, Contemporary Accounts, The Coolidge Era and the 1920s, and Bibliographies and Other Useful Sources.

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